The fall in USD/JPY (96.70 at time of writing) shows no sign of letting up and EUR/JPY has fallen to 133.30, which was a series of previous highs which should now offer some minor support. Below here, and we look set for a big fall to the major trendline at 130.65.

Seeing some decent EURJPY buying by various Japanese accounts over the last half hour pushing it back up thru 137.00 and towards yesterday’s highs. Look for 137.30-40 to initially ofer some resistance especially if USDJPY finds it tough to crack 97.60 and EURUSD offers lurking above 1.4090.

Initial resistance is at 137.30, yesterdays highs with Fibos at 137.44 and 86 above there. Support is at 136.35 and 135.65. Hourly trend is more or less flat which favours range trading though a 5-wave count from the 139.20 spike high is a bearish event.

Both the Kospi and the Australian All Ords were up almost 1% but have now fallen into negative territory. The Nikkei is down 0.25% and Taiwan is down almost 6% in 2 days. Add in to the mix some selling flows out of Tokyo in EUR/JPY and the market has been caught a bit by surprise. As I said earlier in my EUR/JPY technical analysis, there is a mild uptrend and technical stops are now to be expected below 135.95.

First up, as a disclaimer of sorts, this model has been wrong on the last two trades that I have seen from it. I’m not sure if that’s a good thing because it’s due for a win or a bad thing because it’s out of form. This model works off very short term charts and mixes trend measurements and moving average crossovers. It has gone long EUR/JPY at 137.10 with a stop at 136.55 and a profit target at 138.20.

Modest uptrend still in play here on the hourly charts but the excessive volatility from last Friday between 136.30 and 139.20 may be signalling th the quiet times are over and we are in for more high volatility. Risk/reward would seem to favour buying dips with a stop below 135.95.

Read The Latest Forex Analysis By Action Forex : EURJPY Daily Outlook.

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