Forex 24x7 - tagged with euro http://forex24x7.net/feed en-us http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss Sweetcron nik@ahketa.bg Forex Forecast - November 9-13 2009 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8793/forex-forecast-november-9-13-2009-forex-crunch

During the weekend, the finance ministers of the G20 countries are meeting in St. Andrews, Scotland. The headlines that will come out from there will impact the markets, and especially EUR/USD, which is sensitive to global events like these. EUR/USD, the world’s favorite currency pair, partially recovered from the panic that struck the markets two week’s ago.

Monday, November 9th: Australia provides a strong start to the week, with the Home Loans figure which is expected to turn positive this month. Also ANZ Job Advertisements are notable.

In Europe, German Industrial Production is predicted to continue rising. Canadian Housing Starts are expected to advance cautiously.

Tuesday, November 10th: British BRC Retail Sales Monitor serves as an unofficial retail sales release which should draw interest. Later in Britain, Trade Balance is expected to show a stable deficit. Also note the CB Leading Index. The British Pound enjoyed a favorable rate decision last week.

German ZEW Economic Sentiment is an important indicator for the Euro. It’s expected to edge down this month, showing a slow, step by step recovery.

In the US, there are speeches by various FOMC members, who might shed some light on the confusing FOMC statement from last week. The scenario of copy-pasting worked for Ben Bernanke, but wasn’t understood by the public…

New Zealand’s RBNZ Financial Stability Report is predicted to shake the kiwi and might indicate future policy by the RBNZ.

Japan will close the day with Core Machinery Orders which are predicted to jump.

Wednesday, November 11th: On remembrance day, the markets will haver lower trade volume, but there are more than a few important releases.

China is expected to publish many indicators, with Industrial Production and Trade Balance standing out. Strong figures will help the Aussie and on a lesser extent, weaken the dollar.

British Claimant Count Change is very important for the Pound. This figure surprised last time. Will it continue? British Unemployment Rate related to the previous month, but is still very important. It’s predicted to rise to 8%.

British events continue with the BOE Inflation Report accompanied by a speech from Mervyn King, the governor of the BoE.

In New Zealand, Retail Sales are expected to continue rising, this time by 0.5%. New Zealand needs a strong rise to compensate for the rate hike that didn’t happen.

Thursday, November 12th: Australian employment figures are expected to be negative, with a loss of 10K jobs and a rise of the unemployment rate to 5.8%.

After the uninteresting rate decision last week, the Jean-Claude Trichet will release the ECB Monthly Bulletin. He’ll make a public appearance later in the day. Also European Industrial Production will move the Euro.

Weekly Unemployment Claims are predicted to remain sable after edging down last week. With an unemployment rate above 10%, this figure will receive more focus now. The Federal Budget Balance is expected to show a higher deficit once again.

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Sun, 08 Nov 2009 04:39:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8793/forex-forecast-november-9-13-2009-forex-crunch
Forex: EUR/USD: Euro post weekly gains http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8781/forex-eurusd-euro-post-weekly-gains

Despite a decline on Friday, the Euro ended the week 0.79% higher against the Dollar. EUR/USD finished Friday trading in a range between 1.4830 and 1.4850. The Dollar failed to confirm a break below 1.4700 and on Wednesday the Euro rallied after the FED decided to leaves rates unchanged but on Friday was unable to hold above 1.4900.

The rally of the Euro against the Dollar eased in the last two weeks as EUR/USD failed to reach levels above 1.5060. Current environment is not very optimistic about the economic recovery, helping the Dollar that works as a refuge for investors.

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Sat, 07 Nov 2009 02:38:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8781/forex-eurusd-euro-post-weekly-gains
European Morning Forex Wrap Up; Market on hold ahead of non-farm ... http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8782/european-morning-forex-wrap-up-market-on-hold-ahead-of-non-farm

EUR/USD started around 1.4880 and gently ticked higher eventually reaching session high 1.4905, where ACB selling emerged capping the rally. Comments from ECB’s Nowotny, suggesting any ECB tightening is some ways away, helped pressure the pairing and we’ve drifted back to where we started, presently at 1.4875.

Talk of sell orders at 1.4900 up through 1.4950. Also talk of specific ACB standing sell orders up at 1.4920/30, good till nfps. Also talk of decent stops starting just North of 1.4915, so somewhat of a mixed bag up ahead.

Cable finishing morning marginally easier, presently at 1.6590 from an early 1.6615. The pairing rallied early but intially ran into good sell interest at 1.6620, rumoured to have been the BIS. However these rumours were later quoshed, the selling apparently having been down to a French name.

After a brief dip though, cable rallied again, reaching session high 1.6635, where decent selling from a UK clearer capped the rally. There was talk of stops gathered around 1.6640, but these remained safe.

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Sat, 07 Nov 2009 00:55:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8782/european-morning-forex-wrap-up-market-on-hold-ahead-of-non-farm
WORLD FOREX: Euro Drops On Disappointing US Employment Data http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8784/world-forex-euro-drops-on-disappointing-us-employment-data

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--The euro declined against the dollar Friday as U.S. stocks fluctuated in and out of positive territory in the wake of a disappointing U.S. monthly unemployment report.

During the New York afternoon, the single currency settled modestly below day-earlier levels versus the dollar, calming after a choppy morning. Rapid intraday shifts and reversals are common after a major data release as investors adjust positions in light of the figures.

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Fri, 06 Nov 2009 22:11:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8784/world-forex-euro-drops-on-disappointing-us-employment-data
Forex: Euro Weakens Versus Major Rivals After US Jobs Report http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8785/forex-euro-weakens-versus-major-rivals-after-us-jobs-report

(RTTNews) - The euro saw some weakness versus other majors as traders turned to safer currency investments after data showed the U.S. unemployment rate surged to a new 26-year high above 10 percent.

The euro moved slightly lower amid choppy trading against the dollar, trading near 1.4840. The European currency hit a 10-day high above $1.49 yesterday and moved toward a 14-month high.

The U.S. Labor Department report showed that non-farm payroll employment fell by 190,000 jobs in October following a revised decrease of 219,000 jobs in September. Economists had expected a decrease of about 175,000 jobs compared to the loss of 263,000 jobs originally reported for the previous month.

With the continued drop in jobs, the unemployment rate jumped to 10.2 percent in October from an unrevised 9.8 percent in September. The unemployment rate had been expected to show a more modest increase to 9.9 percent.

The euro slipped near 0.8930 against the euro, slipping to a lower end of a recent trading range. The pair has been range-bound for 1 1/2 weeks.

UK input prices for materials and fuels purchased by manufacturers unexpectedly edged up 0.1% from the previous year, reversing a revised 6.2% fall in September, the Office for National Statistics reported on Friday. Input price inflation turned positive for the first time since February. The decline for September was revised from a 6.5% fall.

The euro fell to a two-day low against the yen near 133.20. The drop took the European currency below a short-term range.

In the Eurozone, German factory orders rose for a seventh month in September due to an increase in foreign orders, data released by the Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology showed Friday.

German industrial orders rose 0.9% month-on-month in September, the Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology said Friday. Economists had expected 1% rise.

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Fri, 06 Nov 2009 21:21:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8785/forex-euro-weakens-versus-major-rivals-after-us-jobs-report
Forex news: the euro advances against majors http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8789/forex-news-the-euro-advances-against-majors

The euro increased against the dollar and the Swiss franc as the European stocks jumped today ahead of a key U.S. employment report. Meanwhile, the euro recovered its Asian session's loss against the pound and the yen.

The euro strengthened against the dollar in early deals on Friday. Currently, the euro-dollar pair is worth 1.4906, up from Thursday's close of 1.4871. If the pair climbs further, it may target the 1.4919 level.

During early deals on Friday, the euro climbed to a 3-day high of 1.5129 against the Swiss franc. The next upside target level for the euro-franc pair is seen at 1.5175. At yesterday's close, the pair was quoted at 1.5115.

The euro that fell to 134.50 against the yen at 2:10 am ET Friday reversed direction thereafter. As of now, the euro-yen pair is worth 134.86, compared to 135.01 hit late New York Thursday. On the upside, 135.75 is seen as the next target level for the European currency.

The euro advanced against the pound after touching a low of 0.8949 at 2:30 am ET Friday. At present, the euro-pound pair is trading near yesterday's close of 0.8970. The near term resistance for the pair is seen around the 0.905 level.

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Fri, 06 Nov 2009 17:43:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8789/forex-news-the-euro-advances-against-majors
Daily Forex Outlook - FED remains Dovish, USD Weak http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8716/daily-forex-outlook-fed-remains-dovish-usd-weak

U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was on the back foot as stocks rallied around the world and the Federal Reserve left rates at 0.25% and stating that rates would remain low for an extended period of time. ADP October Employment Report was -203k vs. -188k previously. Also released, ISM Services forecast at 50.6 vs. 51.6 forecast. In US Stocks, DJIA +30 points closing at 9802, S&P +1 points closing at 1046 and NASDAQ -2 points closing at 2055. Looking ahead, Weekly Jobless Claims are forecast at 523k vs. 530k previously.

The Euro (EUR) rallied for most of the day on continued strength in commodities and a rebound in stocks. September PPI was as forecast at -0.4%. EUR/JPY enjoyed solid gains although a late sell off in stocks induced profit taking. Overall the EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4701 and a high of 1.4911 before closing at 1.4880. Looking ahead, ECB rate announcement forecast to remain at 1.0%.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) was very weak as the crosses began to rally and technical's turned against the Yen. USD/JPY struggled to hold above 91 Yen on a mixed response to the FOMC but remains supported on dips. EUR/JPY returned to the 135 figure. Overall the USDJPY traded with a low of 90.03 and a high of 91.34 before closing the day around 90.80 in the New York session.

The Sterling (GBP) rallied above 1.6500 on improved risk appetite and strong GBP/JPY buying. October PMI Services was 56.9 vs. 55.4 previously. 1.6600 capped the topside but the market is well supported ahead of today's BoE meeting. Overall the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6600 and a high of 1.6399 before closing the day at 1.6550 in the New York session. Looking ahead, BoE Rate meeting. Also released, September Industrial Production forecast at 1% vs. -2.5% previously.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) was dented in Asia from poor September Retail Sales of -0.2% vs. +0.4% forecast. The dip below 0.9000 proved short lived and when the market continued to push higher the Aussie rebounded. AUD/JPY enjoyed the Yen weakness combined with the ongoing rally in gold. Overall the AUD/USD traded with a low of 0.8970 and a high of 0.9146 before closing the US session at 0.9105. Looking ahead, September Trade Balance forecast at -2100mln vs. -1524mln previously.

Oil & Gold (XAU) continued to push higher on yesterdays momentum nearing the $1100 level. Overall trading with a low of USD$1079 and high of USD$1098 before ending the New York session at USD$1092 an ounce. Broke above $80 a barrel as the rally accelerated. Crude Oil was up $0.80 ending the New York session at $80.40.

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Thu, 05 Nov 2009 10:01:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8716/daily-forex-outlook-fed-remains-dovish-usd-weak
WORLD FOREX:Euro Down On Selling In Europe; Weak Asia Stocks http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8717/world-forexeuro-down-on-selling-in-europe-weak-asia-stocks

TOKYO (MarketWatch) -- The euro fell against the dollar and the yen in Asia on Thursday, as European market participants unloaded their euro-holdings to adjust positions before a series of the euro-zone central bank policy-setting meetings.

The euro's decline was also the result of lackluster Asian share markets that prompted short-term traders to sell the risk-sensitive euro, dealers said. The pound also lost against the dollar and the yen for the same reasons.

But they said the euro's direction is unclear because it is so dependent on these meetings.

Early in the Asian morning, European market participants continued to cut their high-yielding euro holdings, traders said.

"Before risk events, investors trimmed their positions that they had accumulated excessively overnight," said Yuzo Sakai, a foreign-exchange manager at Tokyo Forex & Ueda Harlow.

Traders also said declines in Asian share markets--with the Benchmark Nikkei 225 Stock Average index down 1.0% in early Tokyo afternoon--chilled risk appetite, causing selling of the euro.

At 0450 GMT, the European single unit slipped almost a yen to Y134.07, from its level in New York on Wednesday. Against the dollar, the currency declined two-thirds of a cent to $1.4837. The pound exchanged hands at Y149.20 and at $1.6513 as of 0450 GMT, down from Y150.68 and $1.6592 overnight.

Attention has now turned to the policy-rate setting meetings of the Bank of England, scheduled for 1200 GMT, and the European Central Bank at 1245 GMT. While the two central banks are expected to keep their policy rates unchanged, traders are focused on whether the BOE will announce an extension of its asset-purchase program.

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Thu, 05 Nov 2009 08:50:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8717/world-forexeuro-down-on-selling-in-europe-weak-asia-stocks
Forex: Australia's Trade Deficit Widens In September http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8718/forex-australia39s-trade-deficit-widens-in-september

Thursday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics announced that Australia's trade deficit widened less than expected in September, with both imports and exports on the rise. Nevertheless, September marked the fifth successive month in which Australia has posted a trade deficit.

The trade deficit rose to a seasonally adjusted A$1.85 billion in September from a revised A$1.65 billion deficit in the previous month, although it was smaller than the A$2.15 billion deficit expected by economists. September's deficit was the largest deficit recorded since March 2008.

Exports of goods and services rose 5% on month to A$20.21 billion in September. Of this, exports of non-monetary gold soared 64%, while exports of rural goods fell 3%. Exports of non-rural goods rose 2% and services credits climbed 3%.

In terms of components, exports of coal, coke & briquettes rose 9% in September. Other components that recorded increases include exports of other non-rural goods, which grew 10%, travel services credit, up 5%, and other services credit, up 1%. These rises were partly offset by exports of other mineral fuels, which dropped 6%, and exports of cereal grains & cereal preparations, down 10%.

At the same time, imports of goods and services grew 5% on month to A$22.06 billion in September. Of this, imports of intermediate & other merchandise goods rose 10%, while imports of non-monetary gold surged 33%. Imports of consumption goods and capital goods were both up 2%, while services debits increased 1%.

In September, imports of fuels & lubricants recorded the most significant increase, up 25%. Other notable increases include imports of parts for transport equipment, up 25%, while imports of non-industrial transport equipment n.e.s. rose 15%. Imports of other merchandise goods and consumption goods n.e.s. grew 84% and 3%, respectively.

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Thu, 05 Nov 2009 07:01:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8718/forex-australia39s-trade-deficit-widens-in-september
Forex: EUR/AUD lowers to 1.6296 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8664/forex-euraud-lowers-to-16296

The EUR/AUD eased from threatening 1.64 to steadily lose ground to remain at 1.6296. The mood has been bearish for the pair in keeping with the monthly trend.

However, while there is a down bias for the pair, the Aussie is set to firm as interest rates are set to rise by at least 25 basis points in Australia today. If there is no change, expect a sell off as this would signal continued fiscal support for a weak economy.

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Tue, 03 Nov 2009 06:46:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8664/forex-euraud-lowers-to-16296
FOREX-Euro edges up but markets skittish http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8653/forex-euro-edges-up-but-markets-skittish

The euro rose against the dollar on Monday as risk-averse sentiment eased on improved economic data and as stocks pared losses, but markets remained skittish before key central bank events and U.S. jobs data this week.

European stock markets shed losses made at the outset on news that CIT Group Inc ( CIT - news - people ), a U.S. lender to hundreds of thousands of small and medium-sized businesses, filed for bankruptcy on Sunday.

Market sentiment was also buoyed after data confirmed an expansion in euro zone manufacturing activity. Final euro zone manufacturing purchasing managers' index for October rose to 50.7 in October from 49.3 in September - in line with an earlier flash estimate and economists' forecasts.

It was the first time the reading has been above the 50.0 mark that divides growth from contraction since May 2008 and its highest level since April 2008 when it also stood at 50.7.

"Today's data suggest that the recovery in the euro area is starting to gather pace," said Colin Ellis at Daiwa Securities.

The euro rose as high as $1.4796. By 1237 GMT, it was up 0.3 percent at $1.4768.

The single currency also hit the day's high against sterling of 90.37 pence, as the pound was hit, with the government set to finalise plans this week to carve up rescued banks Royal Bank of Scotland ( RBS - news - people ) and Lloyds, triggering selling in their shares.

The UK currency is sensitive to news about the country's struggling banking system given the economy's heavy dependence on its financial sector, and a rise in UK manufacturing PMI data failed to boost the currency.

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Mon, 02 Nov 2009 15:47:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8653/forex-euro-edges-up-but-markets-skittish
Forex: EUR/USD falls sharply on Friday http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8593/forex-eurusd-falls-sharply-on-friday

The Dollar rose against the Euro erasing Thursday's losses. EUR/USD fell to 1.4700 (intra-day low) but failed to break below. The Euro did not hold above 1.4800 and weakened. The fall in stocks helped Greenback that finished the week higher for the first since late September

EUR/USD finished October with gains for the fourth consecutive month but far from the highs. The Euro pulled back after reaching at 1.5060 the highest price in 14 months.

Ilian Yotov, from AllthingForex comments on the coming month: "The U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls plus four interest rate announcements from the Fed, the Reserve Bank of Australia, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank could set the trend for equities, commodities and currencies in the month ahead."

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Sat, 31 Oct 2009 04:27:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8593/forex-eurusd-falls-sharply-on-friday
Bundesbank board member sees no end in sight to dollar weakness http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8576/bundesbank-board-member-sees-no-end-in-sight-to-dollar-weakness

It’s been a long time since the market has paid attention to Bundesbankers below the level of President Weber. Comments from Board member Sarrazin might get some notice as they go with the grain of the market at the moment and he has recently been in the news for other reason. Sarrazin says he sees no end in sight to the rise of the euro against the dollar and that dollar weakness is needed to correct the US current account deficit, according to our friends at Market News. Sarrazin was recently stripped of some of his duties at the Buba for impolitic remarks about immigrants in Germany. Sarrazin

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Thu, 29 Oct 2009 21:29:00 +0200 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/8576/bundesbank-board-member-sees-no-end-in-sight-to-dollar-weakness
Just what the euro needs… http://forex24x7.net/items/view/771/just-what-the-euro-needs

An Icelandic central bankers says that Iceland will join the euro zone in the near future. Just what the euro needs, another insolvent country with a financial sector that has suffered an epic implosion. Iceland would have to go through a draw-out process well before it could join the euro zone, I believe, called ERM2.

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Thu, 11 Jun 2009 18:01:00 +0300 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/771/just-what-the-euro-needs
Slightly steadier picture in Baltics will also be helping euro http://forex24x7.net/items/view/566/slightly-steadier-picture-in-baltics-will-also-be-helping-euro

Things are looking a little steadier in the Baltics, which will be lending the euro some support. The Lat has seen some improvement this morning, as the market awaits news that the Latvian cabinet has agreed to slash 500 mln lats of public spending in 2009. Confirmation of the cuts is expected to unlock the next tranche of a 7.5 bln euro rescue loan backed by the IMF.

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Tue, 09 Jun 2009 10:55:00 +0300 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/566/slightly-steadier-picture-in-baltics-will-also-be-helping-euro
Centre-right parties the big winners in Euro elections http://forex24x7.net/items/view/452/centre-right-parties-the-big-winners-in-euro-elections

If a general election was held in Germany tomorrow, the CDU/CSU party led by Frau Merkel would most likely be able to win power if it again allied itself with the FDP, as Kohl did with Genscher in the 80’s and 90’s. The FDP is a middle-of-the-road party and the CDU is the predominant right wing party in most of Germany with its’ sister party the CSU, which is only in Bavaria. The CSU for instance won almost 50% of the vote in Bavaria in the weekend elections. The main left wing party, the SPD, had a shocker winning just over 20% of the overall vote. This is not dissimilar to the results in the UK for Labour, the Tories and the Liberal Democrats.

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Mon, 08 Jun 2009 07:05:00 +0300 http://forex24x7.net/items/view/452/centre-right-parties-the-big-winners-in-euro-elections