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Kelly position sizing with a fixed stop-loss; dangers of tight stop-loss
The main conclusion of the previous article was that a strategy with a position size distributed proportionally to the Kelly Criterion was found to be more attractive than the strategy were potential stop-loss would be distributed according to Kelly. A way to implement such a better strategy was...
USDJPY trades higher
USDJPY has overcome the offers at 97.50-60 to take out small stops above 97.60. Its still looking bid after the morning market seems to have got itself short trying to trigger sub 97.00 stops. Look for an attempt at 98.00 going into...
The Greenback Rose After Strong Economic Data
The release of strong economic data from the U.S. economy led to a stock market rally in the U.S. and the rest of the world. This led to strong implications for the Dollar. The Dollar rose against the Yen, whilst dropping against the British Pound. However, there was very little movement against...
Ireland’s Hurley in no hurry to find the exits
Exit strategy has been a big topic of discussion for Weber, Stark and others on the ECB but for Ireland’s Hurley, it is not on the radar. He says rates must remain accommodative as long as required. Policy will only be adjusted when definitive signs of significant improvement. Inflation will...
EURJPY: ranges getting tighter
It seems that the EURJPY range has been shriking over the course of this week, with Yen crosses taking a back seat to straight USD positioning. Its been unable to crack above yesterday’s high of 138.05. Buyers are seen at 137.00-20 with stops below. Sellers 138.00-10 then 138.30. It needs to...